Santutxu vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
53.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santutxu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GER
3 - 1
SFC
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SFC
1 - 1
BFC
56%
24%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
BEA
3 - 0
SFC
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SFC
0 - 1
ELG
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 2
SFC
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
4 - 0
CDU
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ZAL
0 - 0
BAR
24%
28%
48%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ZAR
0 - 1
BAR
15%
24%
62%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
4 - 1
ZAM
75%
17%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |