Santos los Mochis vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos los Mochis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
REB
0 - 2
MOC
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MOC
1 - 1
PRO
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MIC
1 - 2
MOC
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MOC
0 - 1
DSJ
50%
23%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 0
MOC
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 1
CAC
43%
24%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
4 - 1
MIN
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 5
TOP
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 4
REB
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 0
MIN
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |