Liga MX Finals - Clausura Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Santos Laguna vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
JAG
2 - 2
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
AME
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ATS
1 - 1
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 2
QRO
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TIJ
2 - 0
TOL
40%
26%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
49%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |