Santos Laguna vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
QRO
0 - 0
SAN
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
PUE
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
CHI
70%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
LEO
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PUM
0 - 2
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 2
MOR
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PAC
0 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
TOL
50%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |