Santos Laguna vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
QRO
1 - 3
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAZ
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
RES
1 - 1
SAN
23%
24%
52%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 2
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
6 - 0
MET
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 0
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PUM
4 - 1
TOL
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
TIJ
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |