Liga MX Finals - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Santos Laguna vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SNL
1 - 2
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 1
SNL
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 0
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SNL
2 - 2
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
TIG
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
TOL
2 - 0
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
EST
0 - 0
TOL
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 0
SNL
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
TOL
4 - 0
ATS
49%
25%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |