Santos FC vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 0
COT
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
PAY
2 - 3
SAN
25%
23%
53%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
SAN
4 - 3
FFL
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
BOT
3 - 3
SAN
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
FLU
5 - 2
PAY
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLU
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
FLU
2 - 2
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
FLU
2 - 0
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |