Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 4-2
Santos FC vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
17.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.3%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.7%
2%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 4
SAN
9%
19%
72%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 2
SAN
8%
18%
74%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
OES
1 - 2
SAN
14%
23%
64%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
MOG
82%
13%
6%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 2
SAN
8%
18%
74%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
4DE
1 - 3
FLA
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 0
FLA
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
5 - 1
PIA
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |