Santos FC vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
SAN
16%
21%
64%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
PAS
0 - 1
SAN
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAO
91%
7%
2%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
SAN
4 - 1
AME
91%
7%
2%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAN
16%
21%
63%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
JUN
2 - 2
DEF
34%
27%
40%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 2
PEÑ
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 0
GLP
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
DEF
0 - 0
CSM
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
DAN
0 - 2
DEF
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |