Santos FC vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 3
SAN
6%
16%
78%
|
87 | 42 | 45 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
AUD
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AUD
1 - 1
SAN
21%
26%
53%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAN
88%
10%
3%
|
87 | 37 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2016 |
COT
2 - 2
JUV
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
COT
1 - 0
CRZ
28%
27%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
COT
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
COT
0 - 2
ATP
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ATP
3 - 0
COT
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |