Santos FC vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAO
56%
24%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
23%
27%
51%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
VEL
2 - 1
SAN
4%
22%
74%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
59%
22%
19%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
PPE
1 - 1
SAN
24%
26%
50%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
POR
3 - 2
BOT
19%
25%
57%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 0
BOT
16%
23%
62%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAO
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |