Santos FC vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
COR
2 - 0
SAN
37%
28%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
INT
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
20%
26%
55%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
BRA
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 0
FLA
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 6
MIR
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
ITU
2 - 2
BOT
25%
25%
51%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 1
PPE
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
COR
4 - 1
BOT
72%
20%
8%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
PAR
3 - 3
BOT
46%
30%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |