Paulista A1 Quarter-finals
Global 0-0
Santos FC vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAN
20%
26%
54%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAO
77%
17%
6%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAN
11%
20%
69%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
COR
45%
27%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAN
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 2
COR
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 1
LIN
60%
22%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |