Santos FC vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 3
SAN
10%
18%
72%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
PAL
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
FFL
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAN
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
OES
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 1
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAT
2 - 4
BOT
48%
23%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 3
BOT
57%
22%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 3
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |