Santos FC vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
SFC
2 - 0
CAN
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 0
SFC
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
EGB
4 - 0
SFC
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 21 | 44 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SFC
2 - 1
COM
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
LOS
0 - 2
SFC
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
COM
2 - 0
COM
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
COM
1 - 1
UCV
77%
15%
9%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
COM
2 - 1
COM
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
COM
1 - 0
CAN
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SFC
2 - 1
COM
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |