Santos FC vs Progresso Sambizanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
PRI
1 - 0
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAG
51%
26%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
REC
1 - 0
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
PRI
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso Sambizanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
REC
2 - 0
PRO
59%
24%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PRO
0 - 2
KAB
40%
29%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
PET
0 - 0
PRO
37%
30%
34%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
PRI
1 - 3
PRO
31%
30%
39%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 1
SAG
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |