Santos AP vs Tocantis Miracema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
COR
1 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
PAY
3 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAY
16%
23%
61%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
REM
16%
23%
62%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +7 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
REM
2 - 1
SAN
79%
15%
6%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantis Miracema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
TMI
1 - 3
ALT
17%
23%
61%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
GUR
1 - 1
TMI
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
TMI
2 - 1
ARA
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2007 |
TMI
0 - 0
PAL
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 1
TMI
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |