Amapaense Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 6-0
Santos AP vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
BPA
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
SPM
0 - 1
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
BPA
1 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
YAP
3 - 3
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
TDC
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
SPM
0 - 1
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
TDC
4 - 1
SPM
47%
26%
28%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SPM
0 - 2
YAP
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
SPM
6 - 1
SEC
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPM
63%
21%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |