Santos AP vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
TDC
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAR
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 2
SAN
40%
27%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALT
33%
26%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
14%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SPM
1 - 2
YAP
26%
22%
53%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
SPM
2 - 1
TDC
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
SPM
0 - 2
ECM
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
IAP
1 - 1
SPM
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SPM
8 - 1
SEC
61%
19%
19%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |