Santos AP vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MOT
4 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
TOC
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
SPM
0 - 0
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
ECM
0 - 2
SAN
43%
23%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
SPM
1 - 2
TDC
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
SEC
0 - 7
SPM
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
SPM
0 - 0
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
SPM
0 - 0
TDC
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
ECM
1 - 2
SPM
65%
19%
17%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |