Santos AP vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 4
SAO
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2007 |
AMA
0 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
4 - 1
SPM
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
YAP
30%
26%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
ECM
3 - 3
SAN
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
SPM
0 - 3
TDC
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
3 - 0
SPM
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
4 - 1
SPM
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SPM
3 - 2
ECM
20%
25%
55%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
YAP
2 - 3
SPM
81%
11%
8%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | +1 |