Santos AP vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
YAP
30%
26%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
ECM
3 - 3
SAN
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
YAP
2 - 0
SAN
65%
19%
17%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2006 |
AMA
4 - 1
SAN
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SPM
3 - 2
ECM
20%
25%
55%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
YAP
2 - 3
SPM
81%
11%
8%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | +1 |