Santos AP vs Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
37%
23%
39%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
IAP
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
TDC
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
ORC
2 - 0
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SPM
1 - 0
SAN
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
ORC
0 - 1
SEC
54%
22%
23%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SEC
1 - 2
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
YAP
1 - 0
SEC
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SEC
1 - 1
SPM
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SEC
1 - 1
IAP
51%
22%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |