Santos AP vs Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
43.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
SEC
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
SPM
1 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
ORC
0 - 1
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
TDC
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 6
IAP
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
SPM
0 - 2
SEC
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
SEC
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
SEC
1 - 3
TDC
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SPM
3 - 1
SEC
35%
24%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -3 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
SEC
1 - 0
ORC
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |