Santos AP vs Remo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
69.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
GUA
3 - 1
REM
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
REM
1 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
POR
5 - 0
REM
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1998 |
REM
2 - 0
POR
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1997 |
ATM
3 - 2
REM
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |