Santos AP vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
SEC
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
YAP
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
IAP
3 - 1
SAN
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
ECM
73%
18%
9%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SPM
0 - 3
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
ORC
5 - 2
YAP
36%
22%
41%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SPM
0 - 4
ORC
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ECM
1 - 1
ORC
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
ORC
1 - 6
TDC
28%
21%
50%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SEC
0 - 1
ORC
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |