Santos AP vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
SPM
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAO
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +4 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAC
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
SPM
2 - 2
SAN
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ORC
1 - 3
SAN
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
TDC
0 - 1
ORC
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
YAP
1 - 1
ORC
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SEC
0 - 4
ORC
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ORC
1 - 3
SAN
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
SEC
2 - 2
ORC
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |