Santos AP vs Mazagão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
IAP
1 - 2
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SAO
4 - 0
SAN
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
CRI
1 - 1
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2007 |
TDC
1 - 1
SAN
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRI
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Mazagão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
MAC
3 - 1
SPM
61%
20%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 1
IAP
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
AMA
1 - 1
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |