Santos AP vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
YAP
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 0
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
YAP
0 - 0
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAN
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
ECM
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
FAS
65%
22%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
FAS
0 - 2
MAN
29%
26%
46%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 0
IRA
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
FAS
1 - 1
MAN
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |