Santos AP vs Gênus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 3
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
RIO
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
PRI
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPM
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Gênus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 0
GEN
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
GEN
0 - 2
PRI
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
16%
21%
63%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +3 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
GEN
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 1
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |