Santos AP vs Macapá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
YAP
0 - 1
SAN
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
ORC
1 - 1
SAN
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPM
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
ORC
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
YAP
69%
18%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
SPM
2 - 3
ECM
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
ECM
1 - 2
SEC
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ECM
1 - 2
IAP
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ECM
1 - 2
ORC
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
TDC
1 - 0
ECM
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |