Santos AP vs Macapá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
BRO
67%
18%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
TDC
1 - 2
SAN
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PLA
2 - 2
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
YAP
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 1
SPM
76%
14%
10%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
5 - 2
ECM
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
ECM
0 - 3
RIO
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
TDC
1 - 0
ECM
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
SPM
0 - 0
ECM
29%
21%
50%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ECM
2 - 2
YAP
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |