Amapaense Final
Global 10-2
Santos AP vs Macapá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
0 - 3
SAN
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
YAP
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
YAP
0 - 2
SAN
30%
27%
44%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
1 - 0
SAN
23%
22%
56%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPM
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
0 - 3
SAN
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
IAP
1 - 1
ECM
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
2 - 1
IAP
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
1 - 0
SAN
23%
22%
56%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
ECM
2 - 2
IAP
34%
23%
43%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |