Santos AP vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
61.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
PAY
2 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAY
14%
22%
65%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LON
5 - 0
SAN
74%
18%
8%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
LON
15%
23%
62%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PRI
2 - 3
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 2
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
POR
1 - 3
SAN
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
RIO
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AUD
1 - 1
POR
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
POR
2 - 2
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |