Santomera vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
IMP
2 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
BAL
22%
24%
54%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
AGU
5 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
CIE
15%
23%
63%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UCA
3 - 1
MSM
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ABA
1 - 2
UCA
15%
21%
65%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
UCA
0 - 1
MAR
36%
26%
39%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PUL
1 - 1
UCA
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LOR
4 - 2
UCA
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |