Santomera vs Lumbreras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
MAZ
1 - 3
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
JUM
0 - 0
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 3
PUL
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
CDB
1 - 1
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 2
PLU
44%
25%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lumbreras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
LUM
0 - 5
CIE
10%
19%
71%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
LUM
1 - 1
BAL
19%
21%
60%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CUA
1 - 2
LUM
75%
16%
9%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
LUM
1 - 3
CAR
16%
21%
63%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LOR
4 - 0
LUM
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 56 | 45 | -1 |