Santomera vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 2
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
PLU
38%
26%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CIE
6 - 0
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABA
55%
24%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PUT
3 - 1
SAN
33%
25%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
PLU
26%
25%
49%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 0
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
PUL
27%
25%
48%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 0
LOR
79%
15%
7%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
LHO
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |