Santomera vs Calasparra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
58.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
JUM
2 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
LAS
41%
28%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
AGU
1 - 0
SAN
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
MME
6%
16%
79%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | +8 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
JUM
2 - 3
SAN
71%
19%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
CAL
4 - 2
BAL
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
HOR
0 - 3
CAL
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
CAL
1 - 0
ORI
22%
25%
54%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +4 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
LOR
0 - 1
CAL
44%
27%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
LUM
2 - 1
CAL
10%
21%
69%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | -3 |