Santomera vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
AGU
5 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
CIE
15%
23%
63%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
PIN
24%
25%
52%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
SAN
22%
24%
54%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
PLU
40%
26%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 0
MSM
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 2
BAL
24%
25%
51%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAL
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 3
PUL
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
UCA
0 - 1
BAL
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |