Santo André vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
15%
22%
63%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
PER
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAN
40%
30%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
MIR
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
11%
21%
68%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 2
BOT
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 2
VEL
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 2
BOT
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |