EMD Santillana vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SDT
2 - 3
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
PON
35%
25%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 2
SAN
40%
24%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
NOJ
9%
17%
74%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
VEL
37%
24%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 1
VEL
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NUE
1 - 2
NAV
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NAV
2 - 1
LRI
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 2
NAV
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
REO
2 - 1
NAV
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |