Santiago Wanderers vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
13º
2º
34
6º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SWA
2 - 0
COB
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
USF
0 - 1
SWA
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SWA
0 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DER
4 - 1
SWA
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 2
SWA
28%
28%
45%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
UCO
1 - 2
DEP
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UCO
2 - 0
DLS
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
IQU
1 - 3
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
UCO
3 - 3
COB
33%
29%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |