Santiago Wanderers vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2022 |
COB
1 - 1
SWA
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SWA
1 - 3
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
DER
1 - 2
SWA
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 0
SWA
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SWA
2 - 0
PUE
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 1
CSD
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 0
UCO
52%
26%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 2
IQU
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
UCO
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 3
USF
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -2 |