Santiago Morning vs Univ. Concepción analysis

Santiago Morning Univ. Concepción
53 ELO 56
-3.7% Tilt -4%
2559º General ELO ranking 2174º
35º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
32.5%
Santiago Morning
26.3%
Draw
41.1%
Univ. Concepción

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
Santiago Morning
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.1%
Win probability
Univ. Concepción
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santiago Morning
-2%
+6%
Univ. Concepción

Points and table prediction

Santiago Morning
Their league position
Univ. Concepción
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
16º
12º
34
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cobreloa
52
52
0%
Santiago Wanderers
52
52
0%
Deportes Temuco
50
50
100%
Deportes Iquique
48
48
100%
Antofagasta
46
46
100%
La Serena
45
45
100%
San Luis de Quillota
44
44
100%
Unión San Felipe
41
41
0%
Barnechea
41
41
0%
San Marcos Arica
10º
40
40
10º
100%
Rangers Talca
11º
37
37
11º
100%
Santiago Morning
12º
34
34
12º
100%
Univ. Concepción
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Deportes Santa Cruz
14º
33
33
14º
100%
Recoleta
15º
30
30
15º
0%
Puerto Montt
16º
30
30
16º
0%
Expected probabilities
Santiago Morning
Univ. Concepción
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Santiago Morning
Univ. Concepción
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santiago Morning
Santiago Morning
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2023
CSD
Rangers Talca
0 - 2
Santiago Morning
SAN
48%
25%
27%
51 52 1 0
13 Sep. 2023
COB
Cobreloa
2 - 1
Santiago Morning
SAN
73%
18%
9%
51 66 15 0
08 Sep. 2023
SAN
Santiago Morning
2 - 2
Puerto Montt
PUE
40%
27%
33%
51 52 1 0
01 Sep. 2023
SAN
Santiago Morning
0 - 0
Santiago Wanderers
SWA
25%
26%
49%
51 61 10 0
27 Aug. 2023
SAN
Santiago Morning
0 - 3
Deportes Iquique
IQU
30%
26%
44%
51 57 6 0

Matches

Univ. Concepción
Univ. Concepción
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2023
UCO
Univ. Concepción
1 - 3
Magallanes
MAG
22%
22%
56%
58 68 10 0
22 Sep. 2023
UCO
Univ. Concepción
1 - 1
Deportes Temuco
DEP
41%
28%
31%
58 60 2 0
10 Sep. 2023
ANT
Antofagasta
3 - 1
Univ. Concepción
UCO
56%
24%
20%
58 64 6 0
05 Sep. 2023
UCO
Univ. Concepción
2 - 1
San Marcos Arica
SAN
41%
27%
32%
57 59 2 +1
27 Aug. 2023
SWA
Santiago Wanderers
1 - 1
Univ. Concepción
UCO
52%
25%
23%
57 60 3 0