Santarcangelo vs Castel San Pietro Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
13%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
PIS
17%
25%
59%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
USR
2 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PDC
0 - 3
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
MPO
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
RIC
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castel San Pietro Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CSP
1 - 1
ACC
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ROV
3 - 1
CSP
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CSP
1 - 0
MEZ
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ROS
0 - 0
CSP
62%
22%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
CSP
2 - 2
BFM
30%
26%
44%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |