Santarcangelo vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
51.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PIS
2 - 1
SAN
59%
24%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
PIS
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAR
28%
28%
44%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ARZ
3 - 1
SAN
44%
28%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LAQ
0 - 0
SPA
22%
29%
49%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 0
PON
59%
25%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PIS
0 - 1
SPA
23%
28%
50%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 0
RIM
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 1
SPA
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |