Santarcangelo vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 0
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAN
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
MAT
35%
27%
39%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
REC
0 - 2
SAN
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 3
REC
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
REC
1 - 1
FRA
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 2
REC
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
REC
2 - 2
SAM
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |