Santarcangelo vs PD Castellarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MPO
0 - 3
SAN
47%
25%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
ROV
55%
22%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MEZ
3 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 2
ROS
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
RIC
2 - 3
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
PD Castellarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACC
2 - 1
PDC
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PDC
2 - 0
USR
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MPO
2 - 0
PDC
45%
24%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PDC
0 - 1
ROV
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MEZ
2 - 1
PDC
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |