Santarcangelo vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ROS
1 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
BFM
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
BOR
1 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIR
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
SDA
1 - 4
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
MEZ
0 - 1
PIS
14%
23%
63%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MEZ
0 - 1
CAR
17%
24%
60%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ROV
3 - 0
MEZ
49%
25%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MEZ
1 - 1
ACC
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
MPO
0 - 1
MEZ
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |