Santarcangelo vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
OLY
1 - 1
SAN
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
AVE
67%
20%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GIU
2 - 1
SAN
18%
23%
58%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
18%
20%
63%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
FRA
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 4
MAT
23%
22%
55%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
MAT
23%
27%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
3 - 2
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
OLY
1 - 2
MAT
18%
23%
60%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |